Clive P. Maund

Greenbriar looks like an even better investment here following the news that it has secured all of the financing required to go ahead with its big $305 million Montalva solar project in Puerto Rico, as it has just announced that it has executed a $265 million mandate agreement with Pegasus Renewable Energy and Sustainable Infrastructure Credit Advisors LP, an affiliate of Pegasus Renewable Energy and Sustainable Infrastructure Credit Fund LP (RESIC). Under the terms of the agreement, and subject to certain conditions, Greenbriar will issue to Pegasus two million common share purchase warrants at a price of CA$1.00, exercisable over a period of five years. This last piece of information probably explains why the price of Greenbriar stock has fluctuated close to C$1.00 in recent weeks, but now the deal is “done and dusted” it is considered to be free to advance.

We first looked at Greenbriar when it was priced at C$0.87 per share, and again on 9th May following a dip, when it was priced at C$1.10 per share. Since this last update it has fluctuated in a range between approx. C$0.96 and C$1.15 marking out what is believed to be an intermediate base pattern, as we can see on its latest 6-month chart below. On this chart we can see that it is now oversold relative to its 200-day moving average, with its positive Accum-Distrib line indicating a high probability that it will soon advance anew.

Here it is worth noting that Greenbriar is one of only 2 independent solar power producers trading on the TSX Venture Exchange – the other, Etrion SA, has 334 million shares in issue whereas Greenbriar has only 17 million.

The big solar project in Puerto Rico is not the only potentially very profitable enterprise that Greenbriar is involved in, as it also has interests in Blockchain technology, Real Easte and so-called Smartglass, as set out in the original article on the company.

Motivation to buy this stock is certainly improved when you read that a valuation report, ordered by a judge and released publicly, valued the Montalva solar project at a NPV $191 million. At 18 million shares of Greenbriar outstanding, that would result in a value of over $10 per share. It is also worth noting that companies developing viable renewable energy projects such as Greenbriar are being aggressively acquired by other larger companies who are attracted by their profit potential, an example being Alterra Power Corp., a renewable energy company founded by Ross J. Beaty, which was acquired by Innergex earlier this year, at a 58% premium to the stock price.

Conclusion: Greenbriar is viewed as most attractive here after the big Montalva solar project has effectively gotten the go ahead. So we stay long and it is rated a strong buy again here at the current favorable entry point. Please refer back to the original recommendation for Greenbriar to view its long-term chart.

Greenbriar Capital website

Greenbriar Capital Corp, GRB.V, GEBRF on OTC, trading at C$1.00, $0.77 at 12 noon on 30th May 18.

Posted at 1.00 pm EDT on 30th May 18.